This post originally was written for and appeared in adexchanger.com. The comparison of “analog dollars” to “digital dimes” is often an attempt to explain that paltry digital revenue is coming from commoditized advertising prices. When you dig deeper into rate cards, the reality is quite the opposite – digital rates are more expensive than print! The digital dimes issue does not stem from pricing but from size and quality of audience. Here some math to explain. I reviewed individual media kits from 10 B2B publishers that contained both print and digital advertising units to get apples to apples comparison of print vs. digital within one publisher. A consistent theme emerged – digital advertising rates were higher than print advertising rates. [...]
The Faulty Comparison of “Analog Dollars” to “Digital Dimes”
by Matt Shanahan on September 30, 2011 in Advertising, Pricing
The Real Price of Advertising
by Matt Shanahan on September 22, 2011 in Advertising, Pricing

Audience metrics are the key for publishers to increases prices and advertising revenue. In fact, right now most publishers are charging more than they think for advertising, because who receives the page views dictates the real price of advertising. But without the right metrics, they are not able to package and price their advertising inventory to maximum revenue potential. Most publishers sell advertising inventory based on aggregate measures of page views and unique visitors, assuming that views are distributed evenly among visitors. But here’s the reality. First, a small number of loyal visitors (“Fans”) consumes a disproportionately large number of page views (and ad impressions), while a large number of one-time visitors (“Fly-bys”) consumes disproportionately few and a small number [...]
The $195 Logic of the New York Times Paywall
by Matt Shanahan on April 12, 2011 in ARPU, Paywall, Pricing

Here is one way to understand the $195 price of a 12-month digital subscription to the New York Times. The price bridges the 2010 gap between average revenue per user (ARPU) for print vs. the ARPU for online. Here is the calculation of the difference. Print ARPU The Newspaper Association of America Trends & Numbers provides details on audience and revenues for US newspapers. Users of print are determined from the print readership which was 152,245,119 in 2010 according to Scarborough Research. Revenue of print is determined from a combination of the advertising and circulation revenues. The print advertising revenue in 2010 was $22,795,000,000. While 2010 circulation revenues have not been provided, most analysts expect them to remain flat compared [...]
Why Revenue Estimates for The New York Times Paywall Are Wrong
by Matt Shanahan on April 6, 2011 in Paywall, Pricing, Revenue Optimization
A digital subscription to the New York Times (NYT) is now a minimum of $195/year ($3.75 per week times 52 weeks). Chatter about the possibility of low subscribership and why $40M was too much to pay is everywhere. The primary logic used by the naysayers of the NYT paywall is that not enough people will pay the minimum $195/year. Whether the paywall will succeed or not, only time will tell, however predictions of revenue based on consumer payment is simply wrong. The logic goes something like this. For consumers, digital news has an anchor price of $0.00 created by years of free access. If a consumer has to pay more, they will take their page views elsewhere. The consequence is [...]
Demand Map™: A Quantitative Lens for Revenue Optimization in Paid Content
by Matt Shanahan on November 2, 2010 in Demand Map, Pricing
Posted by: Matt Shanahan In the book Super Crunchers, Ian Ayres looked at hundreds of tests evaluating how data-based decision making (i.e., quantitative) fares in comparison with experience- and intuition-based decisions (i.e., qualitative). We were interested in doing the same thing regarding license revenue optimization in paid content. When a publisher designs a license for paid content (i.e., packaging and pricing of access to media and information), they do so with an expectation of how much media or information will be consumed (i.e., the level of engagement). Typically, the license is defined in terms of sections, volume, numbers of users and usage rights. When a new license is introduced, the initial price is usually based on previous experience and intuition of [...]
Pricing in Digital Equilibrium™
by Matt Shanahan on April 23, 2010 in Advertising, Pricing
Posted by: Matt Shanahan Spurred by a considerable uptick in discussions with B2B publishers, I’ve been thinking a lot about the strategies of revenue optimization. Obviously, the publishing world is grappling with the transition to digital as traditional print advertising declines; suddenly online advertising revenue is moving from incremental to future core. The move has triggered a search for tools that offer tuning, refinement and optimization, and that’s where we’ve been fitting into the discussion. In talking with customers, I’ll admit I was a bit surprised by the simplicity of the current ad pricing models in place. While the impression (CPM) and conversion (CPA)-based units of online advertising inventory are firmly entrenched, there is little sophistication associated with pricing [...]
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